Possible Central Brazil Rain

But the rains are expected to come. Models are noting that despite being hot and dry through Dec. 3, rains will move back into the middle of the country. Coverage is also expected to be widespread and amounts likely heavy as rain is forecast to continue for much of the following week.

Estimates from the European forecast model show widespread rainfall amounts of 50 to 100 mm (roughly 2 to 4 inches) of rainfall through Dec. 10 for Mato Grosso, Goias, and Minas Gerais all the way south through Rio Grande do Sul. Of course, this comes with convective thunderstorms and models typically underestimate these types of showers, leaving many areas to receive more than the 100 mm.

The showers may be very timely for much of the region, but some damage may have already been done as Silva fears has already happened, especially for the crop that has already begun to bloom.

Southern areas of the country, from Parana to Rio Grande do Sul, saw those timely showers about a week earlier than their northern neighbors and will have a better chance at saving blooming soybeans and corn nearing reproduction as well. While this portion of the country was dry the prior week, showers after the American Thanksgiving holiday were welcomed in by area producers, seeing rainfall totals of 25 to 50 mm (roughly 1 to 2 inches) and locally up to 100 mm (4 inches) during the last several days.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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