Cool weather and continued dry conditions have slowed crop emergence. The government points to producers intentionally slow to seed canola in the Northwest Region due to cool weather, while are delaying seeding in the two central regions due to dry conditions. This bears watching; the current forecast shows warmer conditions. DTN charts show that both five-day highs and five-day lows are to range from 4 to 9 degrees Celsius above normal through to May 17.
The province’s assessment of soil moisture shows a further deterioration during the past week. As of May 10, the area of the province rated as having adequate topsoil moisture fell by 10 points to 31% of the province, while the area rated short to very-short increased by 10% to 68% short to very-short, with 45% rated short and a further 23% rated very short. There is a slight discrepancy in this week’s estimates as the total for the percentages is 99%, rather than 100%.
In historical Saskatchewan data going back to 2006 (15 years), the area rated short to very-short topsoil moisture for this week has been reported above 20% only four times. This area was estimated at 35% in 2008, while the high was reported at 47% in 2019. Three of these four years were seen in the past five years.
The current area rated as having adequate soil moisture for this week, at 31% of the province’s cropland, compares to the five-year average of 69.5%, the 10-year average of 68.3% and the 15-year average of roughly 68.8%.
Cliff Jamieson can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
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